Stocks to take cues from healthcare bill, housing data

Stocks to take cues from healthcare bill, housing data
Washington's bid to put finishing touches on healthcare reforms this weekend should help lift

RELATED ARTICLES

uncertainty on Wall Street, but there may be some turbulence along the way next week as the recent rally appears to be fraying.

Democratic leaders in the house of representatives pushed undecided members for support and voiced growing confidence on Friday that they will win a close vote on final passage of a bill that requires a sweeping overhaul of the country's healthcare system.

The house will vote on Sunday afternoon on President Barack Obama's top domestic priority, which has picked up momentum in recent days with backing from former opponents.

Shares of healthcare insurers, who have been criticised by Obama in recent weeks, could rally if the vote helps remove the uncertainty about their profit outlook, analysts say. "The market doesn't like indecision. Whichever way it goes, there will be a decision and then people can move on," said Neil Catania, floor broker at MND Partners in New York.

"If the bill passes, you'll have a majority of people putting some money to work. It's a mixed bag, though, because what's good on one side is going to hurt another side. But more important than anything is the decision." The Morgan Stanley Healthcare Payor index capped its biggest five-day run-up in three months on Friday as investors bet that their prospects might end up not being as adversely affected as previously feared.

But improving sentiment over healthcare just might not be enough to overcome anxiety that is now buffeting the market as investors look for fresh catalysts to push ahead a year-long rally in US stocks. In the coming week, housing will be another dominant theme with the release of February existing home sales on Tuesday and a report on February new home sales on Wednesday. Investors will pay close attention to home sales because the housing sector is still struggling with a tide of foreclosures after the subprime mortgage crisis that surfaced in 2007 and helped push the US economy into one of the worst recessions since the 1930s. A stronger housing market is deemed crucial to the US economy's health.

On Friday, the focus will turn to the government's final reading on fourth-quarter gross domestic product and the final word on March consumer sentiment from the Reuters/University of Michigan surveys.

Investors will be hard pressed to see if the reports offer more evidence that the US economic recovery continues to gain traction. "Just given the moves we've seen over the past month, a very rapid ascent, I think the market will probably welcome a period of time where we might be able to digest some of this data going forward," said Christian Hviid, chief market strategist at Genworth Financial Asset Management. "That probably argues for a more sideways move in the market."

The Dow Jones industrial average and the benchmark Standard & Poor's 500 Index are pushing against levels last seen in October 2009, having rebounded from a mid-January sell-off that took the S&P 500 down as much as 8.1 per cent through early February from the 15-month peak of January 19.

The S&P 500 is up 71 per cent from the March 2009 bottom. It registered its biggest percentage drop in almost a month, falling 0.51 per cent to 1,159.90 in Friday's session, but it still managed to score a 0.9 per cent gain for the week. The Dow industrials climbed 1.1 per cent for the week, while the Nasdaq added 0.3 per cent. Although the first-quarter earnings period is still weeks away, a few companies are due to report next week. The calendar includes technology bellwether Oracle Corporation, whose results and outlook could help set the tone for the coming earnings season.

European Union President Jose Manuel Barroso urged EU member states on Friday to approve a standby aid package for Greece as he sought to take the initiative in dealing with Athens' debt crisis.

EU leaders will discuss the issue at a summit in Brussels next week on Thursday and Friday after Greece said it could not deliver promised deficit cuts if its borrowing costs remained high.

Post new comment

E-mail ID will not be published
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

FC NEWSLETTER

Stay informed on our latest news!

EDITORIAL OF THE DAY

  • Foreign brokerages must be Street-smart to win battle of bourses

    Earlier this week, Financial Chronicle reported that foreign brokerages were failing to crack the retail broking market in India, once seen as very pr

INTERVIEWS

GV Nageswara Rao

MD & CEO, IDBI Federal Life

Timothy Moe

Goldman Sachs

Chander Mohan Sethi

CMD, Reckitt Benckiser India

COLUMNIST

Urs Schöttli

India needs to project soft power

The rise from a regional to a global p­ower is ...

Robert Clements

Walk the talk when giving others advice

The only thing one does with advice is to pass ...

Bubbles Sabharwal

Keeping our value system uninjured

Every time one reads a newspaper, there is fr­esh news ...