Strong Q1 revenues but salary hike to impact margins: Analysts

Tags: News
Healthy demand across developed markets is expected to bolster revenues of Indian IT services firms for the April-June quarter but margins may remain under pressure due to salary hikes, visa costs and a stronger rupee, market analysts have said.

The first quarter (April-June) of 2014-15 fiscal is generally strong for the USD 118 billion IT-BPO industry as client budgets start rolling out during the period.

"We expect companies to report a strong performance on the revenue front (USD terms). The industry is also seeing strong demand trends as developed economies recover further," Kotak Securities Head (Private Client Group Research) Dipen Shah said.

Cross currency benefits should also help revenues to the extent of 30-40 basis points, he added.

"Margins are expected to be under pressure quarter-on- quarter due to salary hikes (most companies), higher visa costs as well as the rupee appreciation," he said.

According to Emkay, wage hikes, visa expenses and currency appreciation could impact operational margins for the top IT players adversely by about 130 to 230 bps on quarter-on-quarter basis.

The earnings season will be kicked off by Infosys which is announcing its quarterly numbers on July 11, followed by Tata Consultancy Services on July 17 and Wipro on July 24.

"Overall, the demand outlook is healthy in the US and Europe. We expect management commentary/guidance to reflect this optimism," Anand Rathi said in its results preview.

Shah agreed saying the economies of the US and European Union have continued to show signs of improvement and stabilisation, respectively.

"This should bode well for client spending. TCS has already indicated that, growth should be in line with its expectations," he added.

Nomura expects the aggregate USD revenue growth of tier I IT firms to improve 3.4 per cent q-o-q in Q1 FY 2014-15 with TCS at 4.5 per cent and HCL Technologies at about 3.5 per cent.

Infosys and Wipro are likely to lag with 2.2 per cent and 1.2 per cent q-o-q growth respectively, it added.

Greyhound Research CEO Sanchit Vir Gogia said that the first quarter is expected to be relatively good, but he is more hopeful of July-September and October-December quarters.

"No doubt, April-June has been positive, but the present quarter and the third are expected to be better. We see pent-up demand rising in Europe, China is also looking good and the US market has picked up," he added.

Post new comment

E-mail ID will not be published
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

EDITORIAL OF THE DAY

  • Subdued crude oil prices offer an excellent opportunity for India

    In Mid-June, when most of us probably first heard of the ISIS posing a serious threat to stability in West Asia, international crude oil price suddenl

FC NEWSLETTER

Stay informed on our latest news!

INTERVIEWS

GV Nageswara Rao

MD & CEO, IDBI Federal Life

Timothy Moe

Goldman Sachs

Chander Mohan Sethi

CMD, Reckitt Benckiser India

COLUMNIST

M S Swaminathan

Strengthening family farming in India

The United Nations declared 2014 as the International Year of ...

Kuruvilla Pandikattu SJ

Roots and routes as our foundation

Ethnicity and identity linked to both territory and culture. The ...

Gautam Gupta

Don’t let success kill the essence of the concept

In 1999 when my mother started her own label, we ...

INTERVIEWS

William D. Green

Chairman & CEO, Accenture