South Asia monsoon seen below average to average in 2014

Tags: monsoon, News
India and its South Asian neighbours are expected to see below average to average rains this year if the El Nino weather pattern gains strength during the four-month monsoon season, a forum of weather experts said on Wednesday.

Poor monsoons could dent crop output in India - the world's No.2 rice and sugar producer, while less rains in soybean areas could make the country, already the world's top importer of cooking oils, more dependent on overseas purchases.

"There is a strong consensus about the possibility of evolution of an El Nino event during the summer monsoon season," said D.S. Pai, the lead forecaster of the Indian weather office, when releasing the consensus forecast of the South Asian Climate Outlook Forum - a group of global weather experts affiliated to the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO).

Rains could be below average in Sri Lanka, Bhutan, and some parts of Pakistan, while an average monsoon is expected in Bangladesh, Nepal and Afghanistan, Pai said.

A strong El Nino, marked by a warming of the sea surface on the Pacific Ocean, can cause severe drought in Australia, Southeast Asia and India, while drenching other regions such as the U.S. Midwest and Brazil in rains. A string of global agencies, including the Climate Prediction Centre have forecast a high chance of El Nino arriving during the Northern Hemisphere summer this year.

Earlier this month, the WMO assessed an El Nino could develop around the middle of the year, though the U.N. agency said it was early to predict the strength of the weather event.

The WMO assessment follows predictions by other national forecasters, including weather bureaus in the United States, Japan and Australia, that an El Nino event was likely within months.

Post new comment

E-mail ID will not be published
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

EDITORIAL OF THE DAY

  • Media obsession with his layoff smacks of lack of focus

    Pretty much like his abrupt vanishing act had done 50-odd days ago, Congress vice president Rahul Gandhi’s return on Thursday from a long and myster

FC NEWSLETTER

Stay informed on our latest news!

INTERVIEWS

Sarthak Raychaudhuri

vice-president, HR, Asia South Whirlpool of India

GV Nageswara Rao

MD & CEO, IDBI Federal Life

Timothy Moe

Goldman Sachs

TODAY'S COLUMNS

Varun Dutt

<b>Riskfactor</b>: Oblivious to reality

The hostile media effect, originally deemed the hostile media phenomenon, ...

Zehra Naqvi

Sensual wordplay

The student of literature looks for form and structure. The ...

Bubbles Sabharwal

The bitter cold heart of life

Life has a heart just as we do. Most times ...

INTERVIEWS

William D. Green

Chairman & CEO, Accenture