RBI buys $19.1b forex forwards in May to shore up reserves
Jul 01 2014 , Mumbai
RBI will continue to purchase when the rupee trades at 58-60 against the US dollar, said the Bank of America-Merrill Lynch report.
BofA-ML India chief economist Indranil Sen Gupta said RBI will recoup forex when the rupee is around 58-60/$.
He noted that shoring up the forex cover is needed as the import cover has halved to about eight months, a level not seen since 2008. And for the RBI to maintain this level of forex cover it has to accrue $ 14.5 billion annually.
Quoting the just-released SDDS data from the IMF which showed the RBI bought $ 19.1 billion of short-term forwards in May, Gupta said: "We grow more confident of our call that Governor Raghuram Rajan will recoup forex to build the 'bullet-proof national balance sheet' he had talked of earlier".
According to the IMF's SDDS data, RBI bought $ 19.1 billion of short-term forwards in May reaping the advantage of improved investor confidence after the Modi win.
This brought down the net outstanding forward forex sales to $ 11.4 billion from $ 32 billion at end April. The bulk of these short-term long forward positions will mature in the second half of the current fiscal.
As per the latest RBI data, the forex reserves rose $ 1.385 billion to $ 314.92 billon, close its record high of $ 320 billion in September 2011.