Exit verdict is for Modi

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BJP seen to be sweeping Hindi heartland, breaking ground in West Bengal, Odisha; Congress headed for worst-ever tally

Exit verdict is for Modi
If exit polls are to be believed, BJP prime ministerial candidate, Narendra Modi is steadily inching his way towards 7 Race Course Road.

Nearly all post poll surveys conducted by different agencies for TV channels on Monday evening at the end of the ninth and last phase of Lok Sabha polls, indicated that the BJP-led NDA is set to form the next government at the Centre.

The surveys have clai­med that the BJP-led NDA would get anywhere between 249 and 340 Lok Sabha seats, whereas Congress-led UPA might end up between 70 and 148.

The others, including regional and Left parties, according to the exit polls, are likely to get between 133 and 156 seats.

In Tamil Nadu, however, it is J Jayalalithaa’s AIA­DMK, which is expected to sweep the state. A majority of the polls predicted between 31-39 seats for AIADMK. There are 40 Lok Sabha seats in the state.

The polls conducted by Today’s Cha­n­akya for News 24 channel predicted that the NDA would get 340 seats, whereas Congress-led UPA would end up getting an all time low of 70 seats while others could get 133 seats.

The projections on Times Now, conducted by ORG, predicted that NDA would get 249 seats while UPA would bag 148, the others getting 146 seats.

The CSDS polls for CNN-IBN gave NDA between 270 and 282 while UPA was projected to get between 92 and 102. BJP alone was expected to bag between 230 and 242 seats. This exit poll gave the Congress between 72 to 82 Lok Sabha berths.

The poll conducted by ITG-Cicero for Headlines Today projected that NDA would get 272 (plus-minus 11), UPA-115 (plus-minus 5) and the others 156.

The C-Voter survey on India TV gave NDA 289 seats to NDA, 101 to UPA and 153 to others. As for the break up, of the 289 seats for NDA, the C-Voter exit poll claimed that the BJP on its own would get 249 and its allies could end up with 40 seats.

Of the 101 seats it gave to the UPA, the Congress was predicted to win 78 seats. ABP News-Nielson poll also projected a clear majority for NDA with 281 seats while pegging the UPA at only 97 seats. In the other category, it predicted 165 seats.

But the exit polls predicted a silver lining for the Congress in South, particularly Kerala, Karnataka and Telangana. Out of 20 seats in Kerala, the Congress-led UDF was given between 11 and 14 seats while in Karnataka, the Congress is expected to get 14 of the 28 seats.

The ruling TMC in West Bengal is also expected to do well with projections saying it could get up to 31 out of 42 seats. Most exit polls claimed BJP was riding high in politically crucial Uttar Pradesh which has 80 Lok Sabha seats. They predicted that the BJP could cross over 50 seats in UP.

ORG gave 52 seats to BJP in UP and 10 to the Congress. Today’s Chanakya put the BJP figure at 70 seats while CSDS predicted 45-53 seats for the saffron party. C-Voter gave 54 seats to BJP in UP, known as “gateway to Delhi.” In Bihar, it was the same story with one channel giving the BJP as many as 28 out of 40 seats.

Of the seven Lok Sabha seats in Delhi, a clean sweep by BJP was predicted by nearly all the polls. Some surveys have given one or two seats for the Aam Aadmi Party. Exit polls also claimed that the BJP-Shiv Sena combination is expected to remarkably well in Maharashtra. The polls predicted over 30 seats to the Combine.

More importantly, the polls indicated a saffron sweep in BJP-ruled states like MP, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan. Of the 40 seats in Madhya Pradesh (29 seats) and Chhattisgarh (11 seats), the BJP is expected to cross 35 seats. In Rajasthan, the exit polls predicted that BJP could end up winning all the 25 seats.


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