History shows markets will recover in a month
Jul 26 2011 , FC Research Bureau
An FCRB analysis revealed the impact of 50 bps hike in the policy rate on markets over the previous seven occasions.
In five out of seven past instances Sensex was battered, but it recovered and remained positive in four out of seven occasions in a month after the announcements. However, over the next three months, it remained lower in six out of seven cases.
The BSE benchmark Sensex tanked 353.07 points, or 1.87 per cent, to close at 18,518.22.
Before this, RBI had raised rates by similar basis points on May 3. Sensex had lost 2.44 per cent on the day of announcement. The 30-pack index declined modestly 0.85 per cent during the month after the announcement and till Tuesday it has so far remained flat.
On June 29, 2008 when RBI raised repo rate to 9 per cent from 8.5 per cent, Sensex witnessed a free fall and registered a 3.89 per cent fall on that day. After a month of announcement, the index recovered fully and was up 5.60 per cent.
amitmudgill@mydigitalfc.com




















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