Inflation temporary; prices to come down by month-end: Montek

Describing the food inflation a "temporary phenomenon", the Planning Commission has said that the

RELATED ARTICLES

prices of various food items will

decline towards the month-end and that the economic growth during the year would exceed 7 per cent.

"The food price inflation is a worrying problem, but in my view the food price inflation strictly on vegetables etc. is a temporary phenomenon... they (prices) will go down further," Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia said in an interview to Karan Thapar for India Tonight programme telecast on CNBC TV-18.

With the coming of the rabi (winter) crop, he added, "you will see a drop in cereal inflation compared to what it is now ... wait for the end of January... on the foodgrain front there will be ample available".

Driven by rising prices of pulses, potato, onion and other vegetables, the food inflation soared to decade's high of about 20 per cent in December before sliding marginally.

About the country's economic growth prospects in the current fiscal, Ahluwalia said it "would definitely be 7 per cent or a little more is quite likely".

The Commission, which had projected a growth rate of 6.5 per cent for 2009-10, he said, would revise it upwards, especially in view of the robust 7.9 per cent GDP recorded in the second quarter (July-September). Economy grew by 6.7 per cent in 2008-09.

Ahluwalia refuted contentions that rising inflation could be linked to the stimulus packages provided by the government to help industry fight the global financial crisis.

"There are many factors that are involved. Bottom line is that inflation has edged up and the policy in the course of the next year has to take that into account," he said.

On the possibility of withdrawal of stimulus, Ahluwalia said the government would take a view at the time of preparing the budget. "We had said right at the beginning that sometime in the course of the year we would begin to slowly wind it down," he added.

The government had provided three stimulus packages to industry to combat the impact of the global financial meltdown triggered by the collapse of America's iconic banker Lehman Brothers in September 2008.

The stimulus had cost the state exchequer Rs 1.86 lakh crore, which is estimated to push up the fiscal deficit to 6.8 per cent of GDP during FY'10, against 6.2 per cent a year ago.

Ahluwalia also underlined the need for moderating the fiscal deficit in the next budget expected to be unveiled on February 26, but added, "we need not be rigid about how much the reduction should be".

However, he added that, "the deficit should come down from whatever, about 6.5 per cent, to about 5.5 per cent."

On the possibility of fiscal deficit exceeding the estimate of 6.8 per cent, he said, "I would not be surprised if revenues are lower because last year there was a very substantial fiscal stimulus in terms of excise duty rebates etc. and that could affect the growth of revenue".

Post new comment

E-mail ID will not be published
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
Image CAPTCHA
Copy the characters (respecting upper/lower case) from the image.

FC NEWSLETTER

Stay informed on our latest news!

EDITORIAL OF THE DAY

  • Retail investors need to be drawn to bond trading

    A country requires both a healthy capital market and a liquid debt market for vibrant economic growth. India has had the first for a long time.

INTERVIEWS

GV Nageswara Rao

MD & CEO, IDBI Federal Life

Timothy Moe

Goldman Sachs

Chander Mohan Sethi

CMD, Reckitt Benckiser India

COLUMNIST

Urs Schöttli

Japan’s living national treasures

While the world is fascinated by the economic “miracles” in ...

Robert Clements

Cherish good times and accept bad ones

Initially, I was angry and confused, I was even repentant…,” ...

Bubbles Sabharwal

Mothers just see things differently; they can’t help it

Before we begin on mothers, I have to share this ...