Asia to power world economy in 2012: ADB chief

The global economic slowdown will affect Asia this year but the region will remain

RELATED ARTICLES

the economic powerhouse of the world, led by China, India and Indonesia, the head of the Asian Development Bank has said.

Haruhiko Kuroda said in an interview with The Associated Press yesterday that the bank expects Asian economies, excluding Japan, Australia and New Zealand, to grow by around 7 per cent this year, down from about 7.5 per cent in 2011 and 9 per cent in 2010.

His slightly less rosy forecast was in sharp contrast to the gloomy International Monetary Fund announcement Tuesday that it was cutting its forecast for global economic growth this year to 3.3 per cent from 4 per cent because of a slowdown in the world economy and the likelihood of a mild recession in Europe.

Kuroda said regional and domestic demand in Asia are still "fairly robust" though external demand is lower "so GDP growth as a whole is also slowing."

He said Asia has already been affected by the ongoing European financial crisis in two ways, through the withdrawal of credit in Asia by many European banks and financial institutions and a drop in trade, which will impact China because Europe is its largest export market.

"If the situation further deteriorates seriously, that could affect Asia," Kuroda said. "So I really hope that the European financial crisis can be overcome."

Nonetheless, Kuroda predicted that China will continue to lead Asia's growth in 2012, expanding its economy by more than 8 per cent, followed by India at between 7-8 per cent and Indonesia at around 6.5 per cent.

The Asian Development Bank or ADB has 48 members and while most developing countries have a strong financial sector and reasonably good public sector, some have serious fiscal deficits like Pakistan, where huge floods have devastated the economy, he said.

It has experienced double-digit inflation in the last two years and growth of only about 3 per cent.

The ADB has been providing loans and grants, totaling USD 17 billion in 2011, to nearly 40 developing countries including Pakistan, 14 Pacific island countries with economic growth rates of about 3-4 per cent, as well as Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Nepal, Bangladesh, Afghanistan and others, he said

Post new comment

E-mail ID will not be published
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

FC NEWSLETTER

Stay informed on our latest news!

EDITORIAL OF THE DAY

  • Foreign brokerages must be Street-smart to win battle of bourses

    Earlier this week, Financial Chronicle reported that foreign brokerages were failing to crack the retail broking market in India, once seen as very pr

INTERVIEWS

GV Nageswara Rao

MD & CEO, IDBI Federal Life

Timothy Moe

Goldman Sachs

Chander Mohan Sethi

CMD, Reckitt Benckiser India

COLUMNIST

Urs Schöttli

India needs to project soft power

The rise from a regional to a global p­ower is ...

Robert Clements

Walk the talk when giving others advice

The only thing one does with advice is to pass ...

Bubbles Sabharwal

Keeping our value system uninjured

Every time one reads a newspaper, there is fr­esh news ...