Concerns on CAD recede but not dissipated, says RBI

The Reserve Bank today said that concerns on current account deficit (CAD) have receded

RELATED ARTICLES

but not dissipated.

CAD, which amounted to 3.7 per cent of GDP in the first half of 2010-11, moderated to 2.1 per cent of GDP in Q3 FY 11, primarily reflecting pick-up in exports, the apex bank said in its Macroeconomic and Monetary Developments in 2010-11 released here.

"With this trend gaining further pace in Q4, the CAD for the full year may settle at around 2.5 per cent of GDP. However, the downward drift could reverse if the current spurt in global crude oil prices persists," the RBI warned.

With a larger CAD, any abrupt tightening of external financing could put pressure on the exchange rate, raise cost of capital and feed through into inflation, it said.

Developments in global economic and financial market conditions could impact the capital account, especially if the central banks in advanced economies (AEs) start withdrawing monetary accommodation, the apex bank said.

"Such a withdrawal, however, is likely to raise global interest rates, reduce leveraged positions in global commodity markets and so help deflate global commodity prices," the RBI said

Post new comment

E-mail ID will not be published
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

FC NEWSLETTER

Stay informed on our latest news!

EDITORIAL OF THE DAY

  • Government must exercise hard options to recover cash hoard

    The white paper on black money comes at an appropriate time, although the issue is old.

INTERVIEWS

GV Nageswara Rao

MD & CEO, IDBI Federal Life

Timothy Moe

Goldman Sachs

Chander Mohan Sethi

CMD, Reckitt Benckiser India

COLUMNIST

Roopen Roy

Making money come rain or shine

In the games of cricket and musical chairs, timing makes ...

Rajgopal Nidamboor

The right and left of creative poise

There is a fascinating dictum that exemplifies an intriguing simile ...

Jhupu Adhikari

From London to India: Journey of Kalighat paintings

This week’s column focuses on the magnificent exhibition of Kalighat ...