British prime minister Theresa May will face mounting pressure to rethink her plan for leaving the European Union after Brexit talks reached a stand-off at the weekend over the so-called Irish backstop.
Less than six months before Britain leaves the bloc and days before May heads to Brussels for a summit on Wednesday when both sides hope to make progress, the Brexit talks were paused on Sunday after the two sides failed to agree on how to deal with the United Kingdom’s only land border with the EU. May was to make a statement to parliament later on Monday.
The talks stumbled over how to prevent the return of a hard border between the British province of Northern Ireland and EU-member Ireland after Britain leaves in its biggest shift in policy for more than 40 years.
May, who has said repeatedly that she could not countenance the break-up of the United Kingdom, is struggling to find a way to satisfy the demands of not only the EU, but of her Conservative Party and her partners in parliament, Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party (DUP).
There has been little success in narrowing the gap between those competing demands, and Ireland’s foreign minister Simon Coveney said any deal would now “take a bit more time than many people had hoped.”
But a spokesman for May said there were “a number of means of achieving what we want to achieve” on the backstop. He declined to give details and repeated Britain’s view that any such arrangement would be time-limited. “We are not going to be stuck permanently in single customs territory unable to do meaningful trade deals,” he said.
At the weekend, EU diplomats said London had urged Brussels to accept assurances that Britain would effectively stay in a customs union with the bloc to make the backstop unnecessary. The EU said it would need an insurance policy.
Much will depend on whether May can sell any deal to her Conservative Party and the DUP, which has threatened to pull support from the government if she agrees to different rules for the province.
Backstop to a backstop
Sammy Wilson, the DUP’s Brexit spokesman, said it now believed a no-deal Brexit was almost inevitable and described the talks in Brussels as turning into a “battle for the union.”
“Given the way in which the EU has behaved and the corner they’ve put Theresa May into, there’s no deal which I can see at present which will command a majority in the House of Commons,” Wilson told the Belfast News Letter.
May’s former foreign minister, Boris Johnson, the figurehead of Britain’s Brexit campaign and one of the bookmakers’ favourites to replace May, was equally critical. “In presuming to change the constitutional arrangements of the UK, the EU is treating us with naked contempt,” he wrote in the Telegraph newspaper.
It was that kind of opposition which made it impossible for May’s Brexit minister Dominic Raab to agree to a deal in Brussels on Sunday. British officials said London could not agree to Brussels’ demand to have “a backstop to a backstop,” which would see the EU’s proposal to keep Northern Ireland in the bloc’s customs union if a new trading relationship is not in place in time.
Britain has long said it wants an agreement on a future relationship with the EU, which London sees as including a common rulebook for manufactured and agricultural products, which would negate any need for a backstop plan for Ireland.
But British negotiators also say they will honour a commitment to a backstop. This year, the government suggested Britain could apply the EU’s external tariffs for a limited period in case of any delay in implementing a Brexit deal. EU negotiators have criticised that proposal, and said on Sunday it was clear that, as things stood, May did not feel she could get a deal through her cabinet, which meets on Tuesday.